Slow starters
2/10Drogheda United scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier Division - Season 2026 (Round 33)
Slow starters
Drogheda United scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 45%).
2/10Scored first · Drogheda United
Bookmakers: Drogheda United 10% to winShamrock Rovers 70%
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United score prediction
Premier Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Shamrock Rovers expected to score more than twice as many as Drogheda United
2.7 goals in total, in line with the Premier Division average of 2.7.
goals expected
Shamrock Rovers1.8Drogheda United0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier Division
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shamrock Rovers to win
Our model 64%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,034 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 542 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 3,007 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shamrock Rovers ahead at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 4,149 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Shamrock Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shamrock Rovers 2+ goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,375 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Drogheda United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Drogheda United 0–1 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 83%
Our track record
In 2,535 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Shamrock Rovers–
Drogheda United–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Shamrock Rovers–Drogheda United–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
164%
X21%
216%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 37% | 63% |
| 48% | 52% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 36% | 82% | 18% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
146%
X40%
215%
1st Score
168%
X5%
228%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
19%
X-X
14%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-1
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
3.7%
0-1
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: the stats that stand out
Premier Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Drogheda United: slow starters and shot-shy
2/10Shot-shy
4/10Drogheda United failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: attack vs defence
Premier Division
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier Division teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Shamrock Rovers: good attack, good defence (1.60 xG, 1.36 xGA a game)
- Drogheda United: weak attack, weak defence (1.26 xG, 1.53 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United form and luck check
Premier Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier Division gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Shamrock RoversBookmakers: 70% to win today.+2.7
- Drogheda UnitedBookmakers: 10% to win today.+1.4
Last 5 matches
Shamrock RoversW
L
D
D
W
Drogheda UnitedL
W
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Shamrock Rovers 3rd of 10 · Drogheda United 9th of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 10 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier Division
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Drogheda United games less often than the Premier Division average (60%), in Shamrock Rovers games about as often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Shamrock Rovers5 of 10
Drogheda United5 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Shamrock Rovers6 of 10
Drogheda United5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 180 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United corners, cards and goal times
Premier Division
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Premier Division average
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4.7
Corners won · league 5.1
4.4
4.0
Corners conceded · league 5.1
6.3
2.3
Cards · league 2.2
1.5
3.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.2
1.5
41%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
55%
29%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
18%
83%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
62%
8%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
31%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Shamrock Rovers3/5
Drogheda United4/5
Both Teams to Score
Shamrock Rovers3/5
Drogheda United3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Shamrock Rovers3/5
Drogheda United5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Shamrock Rovers2/5
Drogheda United4/5
First Half Result
Shamrock Rovers1/5
Drogheda United2/5
Correct Score
Shamrock Rovers0/5
Drogheda United0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction