Shot-shy
6/10Sligo Rovers failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 25%).
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Sligo Rovers vs Derry City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier Division - Season 2026 (Round 36)
Shot-shy
Sligo Rovers failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 25%).
6/10Failed to score · Sligo Rovers
Bookmakers: Sligo Rovers 18% to winDerry City 62%
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City score prediction
Premier Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Derry City expected to create clearly more
2.7 goals in total, a little under the Premier Division average of 2.8.
goals expected
Sligo Rovers0.9
Derry City1.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier Division
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Derry City to win
Our model 52%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 38%
Our track record
In 2,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Sligo Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Sligo Rovers 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Derry City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Derry City 2+ goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Sligo Rovers–
Derry City–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Sligo Rovers–Derry City–Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
124%
X24%
252%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
| 19% | 81% | 49% | 51% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
121%
X44%
235%
1st Score
138%
X6%
256%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
X-2
19%
X-X
16%
1-1
13%
X-1
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
1-2
10.2%
0-1
9.8%
0-2
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: the stats that stand out
Premier Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Sligo Rovers: shot-shy · Derry City: fast starters and brick wall
6/10Fast starters
8/10Derry City scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Brick wall
4/10Derry City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: attack vs defence
Premier Division
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier Division teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Sligo Rovers: weak attack, weak defence (0.78 xG, 2.08 xGA a game)
- Derry City: good attack, good defence (1.55 xG, 1.36 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Sligo Rovers vs Derry City form and luck check
Premier Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier Division gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Sligo RoversBookmakers: 18% to win today.−0.1
- Derry CityBookmakers: 62% to win today.+2.8
Last 5 matches
Derry CityW
W
L
W
D
Sligo RoversL
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Sligo Rovers 10th of 10 · Derry City 4th of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 10 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier Division
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Sligo Rovers and Derry City games less often than the Premier Division average (60%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Sligo Rovers4 of 10
Derry City4 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Sligo Rovers4 of 10
Derry City5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 182 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Sligo Rovers vs Derry City corners, cards and goal times
Premier Division
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.1
- Cards: league 2.2
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Derry City2/5
Sligo Rovers3/5
Both Teams to Score
Derry City2/5
Sligo Rovers3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Derry City2/5
Sligo Rovers2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Derry City4/5
Sligo Rovers2/5
First Half Result
Derry City3/5
Sligo Rovers2/5
Correct Score
Derry City1/5
Sligo Rovers2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction