1. Oxford United vs Bradford City

Oxford United vs Bradford City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Riding their luck

Oxford United are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 9 with xG

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Oxford United 36% to winBradford City 36%

Oxford United vs Bradford City score prediction

League One

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.4 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the League One average is 2.7).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Oxford United vs Bradford City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Oxford United vs Bradford City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bradford City to win

Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 53%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Oxford United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oxford United 0–1 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Bradford City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bradford City 0–1 goals

Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Oxford United vs Bradford City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Oxford United vs Bradford City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Oxford UnitedOxford United–
Bradford CityBradford City–

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

135%
X27%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Oxford United31%69%65%35%
Bradford City30%70%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Oxford United87%13%96%4%
Bradford City86%14%95%5%

1st Half

127%
X43%
230%

1st Score

144%
X8%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

X-X

18%

1-1

17%

X-2

15%

X-1

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

0-1

9.7%

1-0

9.4%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

8.0%

0-0

7.8%

0-2

6.2%

2-0

5.7%

2-2

5.5%

1-3

3.5%

3-1

3.1%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Oxford United vs Bradford City: the stats that stand out

League One

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Bradford City: brick wall · Oxford United: fast starters and always on the scoresheet

Brick wall
Bradford City7/10

Bradford City kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).

Fast starters
Oxford United8/9

Oxford United scored first in 8 of their last 9 (league 46%).

Always on the scoresheet
Oxford United0/9

Oxford United scored in all of their last 9 (league 27% fail to score).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Oxford United vs Bradford City: attack vs defence

League One

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Oxford UnitedOxford United: weak attack, weak defence (1.31 xG, 1.51 xGA a game)
  • Bradford CityBradford City: weak attack, good defence (1.12 xG, 0.95 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Oxford United vs Bradford City form and luck check

League One

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One games

Oxford United are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Oxford United
    Oxford UnitedBookmakers: 36% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesClinical · +6 goals
    +6.2
  • Bradford City
    Bradford CityBookmakers: 36% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals
    +2.9

Last 5 matches

Oxford UnitedOxford United
W
D
W
D
W
8th in table
Bradford CityBradford City
D
W
D
D
W
3rd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Oxford United 9th of 24 · Bradford City 7th of 24

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Oxford United vs Bradford City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

League One

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent League One gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Bradford City games go over 2.5 goals less often than the League One average (53%), Oxford United games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Oxford United7 of 9
Bradford City1 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Oxford United7 of 9
Bradford City2 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 534 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Oxford United vs Bradford City corners, cards and goal times

League One

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameOxford United: last 9 with these statsPro · free for now

Both sides score late

Oxford United

Bradford City

4.7

Corners won · league 5.2

7.6

6.7

Corners conceded · league 5.2

5.9

2.3

Cards · league 1.9

2.1

2.8

Opponents' cards · league 1.9

2.1

33%

Goals before half-time · league 43%

38%

44%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

38%

20%

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

20%

40%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

20%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Bradford CityBradford City
1/5
Oxford UnitedOxford United
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Bradford CityBradford City
3/5
Oxford UnitedOxford United
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Bradford CityBradford City
2/5
Oxford UnitedOxford United
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Bradford CityBradford City
5/5
Oxford UnitedOxford United
5/5

First Half Result

Bradford CityBradford City
3/5
Oxford UnitedOxford United
1/5

Correct Score

Bradford CityBradford City
1/5
Oxford UnitedOxford United
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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