Always chasing
9/10Notts County conceded first in 9 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Notts County vs Stockport County Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Always chasing
Notts County conceded first in 9 of their last 10 (league 46%).
9/10Conceded first · Notts County
Bookmakers: Notts County 15% to winStockport County 61%
Notts County vs Stockport County score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, in line with the League One average of 2.7.
goals expected
Notts County1.2
Stockport County1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Notts County vs Stockport County: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Notts County vs Stockport County — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Stockport County to win
Our model 50%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 2,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 541 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Notts County Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Notts County 0–1 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 1,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Stockport County Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Stockport County 0–1 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 841 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Notts County vs Stockport County — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Notts County vs Stockport County. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Notts County–
Stockport County–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Notts County–Stockport County–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
125%
X25%
250%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 71% | 29% |
| 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
120%
X46%
233%
1st Score
135%
X6%
259%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
X-2
18%
X-X
16%
1-1
12%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Notts County vs Stockport County: the stats that stand out
League One
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Notts County: always chasing · Stockport County: brick wall and banker as favourites
9/10Brick wall
5/10Stockport County kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
Banker as favourites
6/9Stockport County won 6 of 9 as favourites (league 50%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Notts County vs Stockport County: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Notts County: weak attack, good defence (1.30 xG, 1.19 xGA a game)
- Stockport County: good attack, good defence (1.74 xG, 0.97 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Notts County vs Stockport County form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Notts CountyBookmakers: 15% to win today.−2.4
- Stockport CountyBookmakers: 61% to win today.−1.7
Last 5 matches
Stockport CountyW
W
W
W
D
Notts CountyW
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Notts County 15th of 24 · Stockport County 1st of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Notts County vs Stockport County: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNotts County and Stockport County games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the League One average (53%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Notts County3 of 10
Stockport County5 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Notts County6 of 10
Stockport County4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 534 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Notts County vs Stockport County corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNotts County score late
Notts County
Stockport County
4.3
Corners won · league 5.2
7.6
4.8
Corners conceded · league 5.2
3.4
2.6
Cards · league 1.9
1.1
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.7
30%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
35%
50%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
20%
46%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
60%
15%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
10%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Notts County3/5
Stockport County4/5
Both Teams to Score
Notts County1/5
Stockport County2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Notts County2/5
Stockport County2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Notts County5/5
Stockport County4/5
First Half Result
Notts County2/5
Stockport County3/5
Correct Score
Notts County0/5
Stockport County0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction