Always on the scoresheet
0/10Cambridge United scored in all of their last 10 (league 27% fail to score).
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Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle
3.0goals expected · League One average 2.7
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 57%
Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.0 goals expected
3.0 goals in total, a little over the League One average of 2.7.
goals expected
Cambridge United1.5
Plymouth Argyle1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Cambridge United to win
Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 2,099 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Cambridge United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Cambridge United 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Plymouth Argyle Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Plymouth Argyle 0–1 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Cambridge United–
Plymouth Argyle–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Cambridge United–Plymouth Argyle–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
139%
X26%
235%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
| 30% | 70% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
128%
X44%
228%
1st Score
145%
X6%
249%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
20%
X-X
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle: the stats that stand out
League One
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Cambridge United: always on the scoresheet and leaky
0/10Leaky
1/10Cambridge United kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Cambridge United: weak attack, good defence (1.28 xG, 1.34 xGA a game)
- Plymouth Argyle: good attack, weak defence (1.59 xG, 1.42 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Cambridge UnitedBookmakers: 39% to win today.+3.7
- Plymouth ArgyleBookmakers: 35% to win today.+2.3
Last 5 matches
Cambridge UnitedD
W
W
D
D
Plymouth ArgyleL
L
W
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Cambridge United 13th of 24 · Plymouth Argyle 5th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Cambridge United games more often than the League One average (54%), in Plymouth Argyle games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Cambridge United6 of 10
Plymouth Argyle5 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Cambridge United9 of 10
Plymouth Argyle3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 534 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameCambridge United score late
Cambridge United
Plymouth Argyle
7.8
Corners won · league 5.2
5.2
5.4
Corners conceded · league 5.2
5.9
1.9
Cards · league 1.9
1.1
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.9
7%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
38%
47%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
19%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
54%
42%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
15%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Plymouth Argyle3/5
Cambridge United2/5
Both Teams to Score
Plymouth Argyle1/5
Cambridge United3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Plymouth Argyle2/5
Cambridge United1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Plymouth Argyle5/5
Cambridge United4/5
First Half Result
Plymouth Argyle3/5
Cambridge United1/5
Correct Score
Plymouth Argyle0/5
Cambridge United2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction