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Blackpool vs Mansfield Town Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, a little over the League One average of 2.7.
goals expected
Blackpool1.4
Mansfield Town1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Blackpool vs Mansfield Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Blackpool to win
Our track record
In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Blackpool 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Mansfield Town 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,274 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Blackpool–
Mansfield Town–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Blackpool–Mansfield Town–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
| 32% | 68% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
17%
2-2
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Blackpool: weak attack, weak defence (1.30 xG, 2.12 xGA a game)
- Mansfield Town: good attack, good defence (1.45 xG, 1.32 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Blackpool vs Mansfield Town form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- BlackpoolBookmakers: 34% to win today.+2.0
- Mansfield TownBookmakers: 39% to win today.+0.5
Last 5 matches
Mansfield TownBlackpoolStrength rank: Blackpool 21st of 24 · Mansfield Town 12th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Blackpool vs Mansfield Town: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBlackpool and Mansfield Town games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the League One average (53%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 534 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Blackpool vs Mansfield Town corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the League One average
Blackpool
Mansfield Town
5.1
Corners won · league 5.2
5.0
7.6
Corners conceded · league 5.2
4.6
1.9
Cards · league 1.9
2.3
1.3
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.9
47%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
50%
20%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
6%
31%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
53%
38%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BlackpoolMansfield TownBoth Teams to Score
BlackpoolMansfield TownOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BlackpoolMansfield TownOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BlackpoolMansfield TownFirst Half Result
BlackpoolMansfield TownCorrect Score
BlackpoolMansfield Town