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Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Stockport County2–1
AFC WimbledonOn these chances Stockport County would usually take 1.5 points and AFC Wimbledon 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Stockport County.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon stats: how the match was played
League One
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
AFC Wimbledon had clearly more shots on target
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
3
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
3
10
Corners
4
1
Yellow cards
1
71%
Possession
29%
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Stockport County to win
CorrectOur track record
In 326 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,109 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,172 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.7%).
Our model’s pick
Stockport County ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Stockport County 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.5% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
AFC Wimbledon 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Stockport County2
AFC Wimbledon1Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Stockport County2AFC Wimbledon1Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 90% | 31% | 69% |
| 54% | 46% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56% | 44% | 77% | 23% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
55%
X-1
19%
X-X
8%
2-1
4%
2-2
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.6%
0-0
3.4%
0-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon — Recent Form
Stockport County have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. AFC Wimbledon have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Stockport CountyAFC WimbledonOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Stockport CountyAFC WimbledonBoth Teams to Score
Stockport CountyAFC WimbledonOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Stockport CountyAFC WimbledonOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Stockport CountyAFC WimbledonFirst Half Result
Stockport CountyAFC WimbledonCorrect Score
Stockport CountyAFC Wimbledon