Hard to break
2/10AFC Wimbledon conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)
Wasteful
AFC Wimbledon are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−4goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: AFC Wimbledon 35% to winBlackpool 39%
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool score prediction
League One
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, in line with the League One average of 2.7.
goals expected
AFC Wimbledon1.4
Blackpool1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AFC Wimbledon to win
Our model 44%Bookmakers 35%
Our track record
In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 4,582 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 6,664 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
AFC Wimbledon Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AFC Wimbledon 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Blackpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Blackpool 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
AFC Wimbledon–
Blackpool–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
AFC Wimbledon–Blackpool–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
144%
X26%
230%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 35% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
132%
X43%
224%
1st Score
154%
X7%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: the stats that stand out
League One
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%AFC Wimbledon: hard to break
2/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: attack vs defence
League One
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- AFC Wimbledon: weak attack, weak defence (1.19 xG, 1.68 xGA a game)
- Blackpool: weak attack, weak defence (1.25 xG, 2.01 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool form and luck check
League One
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- AFC WimbledonBookmakers: 35% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−0.5
- BlackpoolBookmakers: 39% to win today.−1.0
Last 5 matches
BlackpoolD
L
W
L
L
AFC WimbledonL
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: AFC Wimbledon 23rd of 24 · Blackpool 19th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League One
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League One gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBlackpool games go over 2.5 goals more often than the League One average (53%), AFC Wimbledon games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
AFC Wimbledon5 of 10
Blackpool6 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
AFC Wimbledon5 of 10
Blackpool6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 550 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool corners, cards and goal times
League One
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 43%
- Goals after 75': league 22%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Blackpool2/5
AFC Wimbledon3/5
Both Teams to Score
Blackpool2/5
AFC Wimbledon4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Blackpool1/5
AFC Wimbledon3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Blackpool4/5
AFC Wimbledon4/5
First Half Result
Blackpool3/5
AFC Wimbledon1/5
Correct Score
Blackpool1/5
AFC Wimbledon1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction