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Leyton Orient vs Port Vale 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2025/2026 (Round 30)

Fair result
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient

0–1

Port ValePort Vale
0.9Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Leyton Orient would usually take 1.6 points and Port Vale 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Leyton Orient.

Leyton Orient −1.6 pts vs chancesPort Vale +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Leyton Orient vs Port Vale stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Port Vale had clearly more shots on target

Leyton Orient

Port Vale

2

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

0

5

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

2

71%

Possession

29%

The match between Leyton Orient and Port Vale ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Leyton Orient win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Leyton Orient – Blackpool prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Leyton Orient vs Port Vale — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leyton Orient to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,410 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,624 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Leyton Orient Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leyton Orient 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Port Vale Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Port Vale 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Leyton Orient vs Port Vale 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Leyton Orient vs Port Vale. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League One - England
Leyton OrientLeyton Orient0
Port ValePort Vale1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

146%
X26%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Leyton Orient25%75%58%42%
Port Vale38%62%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Leyton Orient83%17%94%6%
Port Vale91%9%98%2%

1st Half

133%
X44%
223%

1st Score

152%
X8%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

1-0

11.8%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

8.6%

2-0

8.4%

0-0

8.0%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

4.5%

3-1

4.2%

3-0

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Leyton Orient – Blackpool prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

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