2. Leagues
  3. League One
  4. Plymouth Argyle vs Doncaster Rovers

Plymouth Argyle vs Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2025/2026 (Round 36)

Fair result
Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle

2–1

Doncaster RoversDoncaster Rovers
1.5Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Plymouth Argyle would usually take 1.6 points and Doncaster Rovers 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Plymouth Argyle.

Plymouth Argyle +1.4 pts vs chancesDoncaster Rovers −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Plymouth Argyle vs Doncaster Rovers stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Plymouth Argyle had more than twice the shots on target

Plymouth Argyle

Doncaster Rovers

6

Shots on target

2

3

Big chances

1

1

Corners

2

5

Yellow cards

4

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Plymouth Argyle and Doncaster Rovers ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Plymouth Argyle win with 41% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Luton Town – Doncaster Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Plymouth Argyle vs Doncaster Rovers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Plymouth Argyle to win

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,628 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Plymouth Argyle Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Plymouth Argyle 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Plymouth Argyle 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,026 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Doncaster Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Doncaster Rovers 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Plymouth Argyle vs Doncaster Rovers 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Plymouth Argyle vs Doncaster Rovers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League One - England
Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle2
Doncaster RoversDoncaster Rovers1

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

141%
X25%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Plymouth Argyle24%76%55%45%
Doncaster Rovers29%71%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Plymouth Argyle80%20%92%8%
Doncaster Rovers83%17%94%6%

1st Half

132%
X41%
227%

1st Score

151%
X5%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

18%

X-X

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

2-1

8.8%

1-2

8.2%

1-0

7.6%

0-1

6.7%

2-2

6.6%

2-0

5.8%

0-0

4.8%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.6%

1-3

3.8%

3-2

3.4%

2-3

3.1%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Luton Town – Doncaster Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores