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Lincoln City vs Stockport County 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2025/2026 (Round 37)

Fair result
Lincoln CityLincoln City

3–1

Stockport CountyStockport County
1.8Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Lincoln City would usually take 1.6 points and Stockport County 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Lincoln City.

Lincoln City +1.4 pts vs chancesStockport County −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lincoln City vs Stockport County stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lincoln City had clearly more shots on target

Lincoln City

Stockport County

6

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

3

4

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

1

30%

Possession

70%

The match between Lincoln City and Stockport County ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Lincoln City win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Notts County – Stockport County prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Lincoln City vs Stockport County — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lincoln City to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Lincoln City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lincoln City 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Stockport County Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Stockport County 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lincoln City vs Stockport County 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lincoln City vs Stockport County. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League One - England
Lincoln CityLincoln City3
Stockport CountyStockport County1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

148%
X26%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Lincoln City23%77%55%45%
Stockport County38%62%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Lincoln City80%20%93%7%
Stockport County91%9%97%3%

1st Half

133%
X42%
225%

1st Score

150%
X7%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

17%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

1-0

10.8%

2-1

9.7%

2-0

8.2%

0-1

7.4%

0-0

7.4%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

5.1%

3-0

4.6%

3-1

4.6%

0-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Notts County – Stockport County prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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