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Doncaster Rovers vs Blackpool

Doncaster Rovers vs Blackpool 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2025/2026 (Round 37)

Fair result

Doncaster Rovers

2–1

Blackpool

1.3Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Doncaster Rovers would usually take 1.9 points and Blackpool 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Doncaster Rovers.

Doncaster Rovers +1.1 pts vs chancesBlackpool −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Doncaster Rovers vs Blackpool stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Doncaster Rovers had more than twice the shots on target

Doncaster Rovers

Blackpool

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Doncaster Rovers and Blackpool ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Doncaster Rovers win with 50% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Luton Town – Doncaster Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Doncaster Rovers vs Blackpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Doncaster Rovers to win

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 2,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,757 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,217 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,004 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,727 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Doncaster Rovers Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Doncaster Rovers 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Doncaster Rovers 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,875 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Blackpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Blackpool 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Doncaster Rovers vs Blackpool 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Doncaster Rovers vs Blackpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League One - England

Doncaster Rovers2

Blackpool1

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

· FT

League One - England

Doncaster Rovers2

Blackpool1

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

150%

X24%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	46%	54%	59%	41%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	59%	41%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	51%	49%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	38%	62%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	51%	49%
	38%	62%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

136%

X40%

224%

1st Score

154%

X6%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

16%

X-X

14%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

10.0%

2-0

8.2%

1-2

6.7%

0-1

6.6%

0-0

5.9%

2-2

5.6%

3-1

5.3%

3-0

4.7%

0-2

3.6%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Luton Town – Doncaster Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).