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Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers 5-1 Score & Prediction Review
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)
5–1
On these chances Stockport County would usually take 1.7 points and Wycombe Wanderers 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Stockport County.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers stats: how the match was played
League One
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Stockport County had clearly more shots on target
Stockport County
Wycombe Wanderers
7
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
3
6
Corners
5
0
Yellow cards
0
65%
Possession
35%
Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Stockport County to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,747 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,168 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,988 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.7% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Stockport County 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Stockport County 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,892 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Wycombe Wanderers 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,386 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% | |
| 38% | 62% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% | |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
19%
X-X
13%
2-2
12%
X-2
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
2-1
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score