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Stevenage vs Doncaster Rovers

Stevenage vs Doncaster Rovers 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result

Stevenage

2–2

Doncaster Rovers

1.0Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Stevenage would usually take 1.3 points and Doncaster Rovers 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Stevenage.

Stevenage −0.3 pts vs chancesDoncaster Rovers −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Stevenage vs Doncaster Rovers stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Stevenage

Doncaster Rovers

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Stevenage and Doncaster Rovers ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Doncaster Rovers win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stevenage – Mansfield Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

Stevenage vs Doncaster Rovers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Doncaster Rovers to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Stevenage to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,168 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 75%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 4,585 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Stevenage Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Stevenage 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Doncaster Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Doncaster Rovers 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Stevenage vs Doncaster Rovers 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Stevenage vs Doncaster Rovers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League One - England

Stevenage2

Doncaster Rovers2

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

League One - England

Stevenage2

Doncaster Rovers2

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

134%

X27%

239%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	65%	35%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	68%	32%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	30%	70%	64%	36%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	68%	32%
	30%	70%	64%	36%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

124%

X46%

229%

1st Score

145%

X9%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

18%

X-X

18%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

0-1

10.8%

1-0

9.5%

0-0

8.8%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

7.5%

0-2

6.5%

2-0

5.6%

2-2

5.0%

1-3

3.5%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stevenage – Mansfield Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).