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Plymouth Argyle vs Bradford City 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle

2–0

Bradford CityBradford City
1.2Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Plymouth Argyle would usually take 2.1 points and Bradford City 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Plymouth Argyle.

Plymouth Argyle +1.0 pts vs chancesBradford City −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Plymouth Argyle vs Bradford City stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Plymouth Argyle had more than twice the shots on target

Plymouth Argyle

Bradford City

3

Shots on target

0

1

Big chances

1

8

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

2

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Plymouth Argyle and Bradford City ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Bradford City win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield Wednesday – Plymouth Argyle prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

Plymouth Argyle vs Bradford City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bradford City to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Plymouth Argyle to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,747 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,168 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,988 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,669 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.2% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Plymouth Argyle Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Plymouth Argyle 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Bradford City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bradford City 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Plymouth Argyle vs Bradford City 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Plymouth Argyle vs Bradford City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League One - England
Plymouth ArgylePlymouth Argyle2
Bradford CityBradford City0

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

135%
X26%
239%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Plymouth Argyle30%70%63%37%
Bradford City28%72%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Plymouth Argyle85%15%95%5%
Bradford City83%17%94%6%

1st Half

125%
X41%
234%

1st Score

142%
X7%
251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

1-1

18%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

0-1

8.7%

1-2

8.5%

1-0

8.3%

2-1

7.9%

0-0

6.6%

0-2

6.1%

2-2

6.0%

2-0

5.4%

1-3

4.0%

3-1

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield Wednesday – Plymouth Argyle prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

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