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Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Cambridge United1–1
AFC WimbledonOn these chances Cambridge United would usually take 1.9 points and AFC Wimbledon 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Cambridge United.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon stats: how the match was played
League One
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Cambridge United had clearly more shots on target
Cambridge United
AFC Wimbledon
5
Shots on target
3
1
Big chances
3
8
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
2
62%
Possession
38%
Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League One
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Cambridge United to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,538 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,747 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,168 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,988 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,669 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.2% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Cambridge United 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,820 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
AFC Wimbledon 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,332 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Cambridge United1
AFC Wimbledon1Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Cambridge United1AFC Wimbledon1Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% |
| 37% | 63% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score