1. Blackpool vs Leicester City

Blackpool vs Leicester City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Goal-fest alert

More goals than usual expected in Blackpool vs Leicester City

3.1goals expected · League One average 2.7

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bookmakers: Blackpool 32% to winLeicester City 43%

Blackpool vs Leicester City score prediction

League One

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected

3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical League One game (average 2.7).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Blackpool vs Leicester City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Blackpool vs Leicester City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City to win

Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Blackpool vs Leicester City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Blackpool vs Leicester City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

BlackpoolBlackpool–
Leicester CityLeicester City–

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

134%
X26%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Blackpool32%68%66%34%
Leicester City28%72%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Blackpool87%13%96%4%
Leicester City84%16%95%5%

1st Half

129%
X42%
230%

1st Score

146%
X7%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

20%

X-X

15%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

0-1

9.8%

1-0

8.9%

1-2

8.5%

2-1

7.5%

0-0

7.4%

0-2

6.7%

2-2

5.6%

2-0

5.4%

1-3

4.0%

3-1

3.3%

0-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Blackpool vs Leicester City: the stats that stand out

League One

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Leicester City: hard to break

Hard to break
Leicester City3/10

Leicester City conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Blackpool vs Leicester City: attack vs defence

League One

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • BlackpoolBlackpool: weak attack, weak defence (1.30 xG, 2.12 xGA a game)
  • Leicester CityLeicester City: good attack, good defence (1.67 xG, 1.26 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Blackpool vs Leicester City form and luck check

League One

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Blackpool
    BlackpoolBookmakers: 32% to win today.
    +2.0
  • Leicester City
    Leicester CityBookmakers: 43% to win today.
    −2.4

Last 5 matches

Leicester CityLeicester City
W
W
L
D
W
11th in table
BlackpoolBlackpool
W
L
L
L
D
17th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Blackpool 21st of 24 · Leicester City 6th of 24

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Blackpool vs Leicester City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

League One

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League One gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Blackpool and Leicester City games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the League One average (53%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Blackpool6 of 10
Leicester City6 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Blackpool6 of 10
Leicester City6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 534 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Blackpool vs Leicester City corners, cards and goal times

League One

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Leicester City score early

Blackpool

Leicester City

5.1

Corners won · league 5.2

6.5

7.6

Corners conceded · league 5.2

5.7

1.9

Cards · league 1.9

1.8

1.3

Opponents' cards · league 1.9

2.0

47%

Goals before half-time · league 43%

63%

20%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

0%

31%

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

47%

38%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

20%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

BlackpoolBlackpool
2/5
Leicester CityLeicester City
2/5

Both Teams to Score

BlackpoolBlackpool
2/5
Leicester CityLeicester City
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

BlackpoolBlackpool
3/5
Leicester CityLeicester City
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

BlackpoolBlackpool
3/5
Leicester CityLeicester City
2/5

First Half Result

BlackpoolBlackpool
3/5
Leicester CityLeicester City
0/5

Correct Score

BlackpoolBlackpool
0/5
Leicester CityLeicester City
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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