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Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Stevenage

1–0

Wigan Athletic

1.5Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Stevenage would usually take 2.2 points and Wigan Athletic 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Stevenage.

Stevenage +0.8 pts vs chancesWigan Athletic −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Stevenage had more than twice the shots on target

Stevenage

Wigan Athletic

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Stevenage and Wigan Athletic ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Stevenage win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Huddersfield Town – Wigan Athletic prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Stevenage to win

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,122 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Stevenage Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Stevenage 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Wigan Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wigan Athletic 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,356 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League One - England

Stevenage1

Wigan Athletic0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

League One - England

Stevenage1

Wigan Athletic0

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

144%

X27%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	60%	40%	84%	16%	94%	6%
	37%	63%	71%	29%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	37%	63%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	84%	16%	94%	6%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

131%

X46%

223%

1st Score

152%

X8%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

11.6%

2-1

8.9%

0-1

8.7%

0-0

8.3%

2-0

8.1%

1-2

7.0%

2-2

5.0%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.2%

3-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic — Recent Form

Stevenage have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Wigan Athletic have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 24th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Stevenage

Wigan Athletic

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Wigan Athletic

2/5

Stevenage

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Wigan Athletic

1/5

Stevenage

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Wigan Athletic

4/5

Stevenage

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Wigan Athletic

5/5

Stevenage

5/5

First Half Result

Wigan Athletic

4/5

Stevenage

3/5

Correct Score

Wigan Athletic

0/5

Stevenage

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Huddersfield Town – Wigan Athletic prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).