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Leicester City vs Peterborough United

Leicester City vs Peterborough United 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Smash-and-grab

Peterborough United won with fewer chances than Leicester City

Leicester City

1–3

Peterborough United

2.0Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Leicester City would usually take 1.9 points and Peterborough United 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Leicester City.

Leicester City −1.9 pts vs chancesPeterborough United +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Leicester City vs Peterborough United stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Leicester City

Peterborough United

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

71%

Possession

29%

The match between Leicester City and Peterborough United ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Leicester City win at 55% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Leicester City – Wigan Athletic prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Leicester City vs Peterborough United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City to win

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,816 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,491 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,119 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 255 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.2% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,279 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Leicester City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Leicester City 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Peterborough United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Peterborough United 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,382 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.4% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Leicester City vs Peterborough United 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Leicester City vs Peterborough United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League One - England

Leicester City1

Peterborough United3

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

League One - England

Leicester City1

Peterborough United3

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

155%

X22%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%	52%	48%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	44%	56%	70%	30%	87%	13%
	39%	61%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	44%	56%
	39%	61%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	70%	30%	87%	13%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

146%

X36%

218%

1st Score

163%

X4%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

39%

X-1

17%

X-X

11%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.2%

1-1

10.0%

1-0

8.8%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.4%

3-1

6.2%

2-2

5.7%

3-0

5.3%

0-1

5.1%

0-0

4.5%

3-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Leicester City vs Peterborough United — Recent Form

Leicester City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Peterborough United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 21st in the table.

Last 5 matches

Leicester City

Peterborough United

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Leicester City

3/5

Peterborough United

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Leicester City

4/5

Peterborough United

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Leicester City

3/5

Peterborough United

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Leicester City

3/5

Peterborough United

2/5

First Half Result

Leicester City

1/5

Peterborough United

1/5

Correct Score

Leicester City

1/5

Peterborough United

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Leicester City – Wigan Athletic prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).