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Mansfield Town vs Oxford United

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Robbed

Mansfield Town drew despite more chances

Mansfield Town

1–1

Oxford United

2.1Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Mansfield Town would usually take 2.3 points and Oxford United 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Mansfield Town.

Mansfield Town −1.3 pts vs chancesOxford United +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Mansfield Town had more than twice the shots on target

Mansfield Town

Oxford United

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Mansfield Town and Oxford United ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Mansfield Town win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oxford United – Bradford City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mansfield Town to win

Wrong

Our model 47%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Mansfield Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mansfield Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Oxford United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oxford United 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mansfield Town vs Oxford United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League One - England

Mansfield Town1

Oxford United1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

League One - England

Mansfield Town1

Oxford United1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

147%

X26%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%	61%	39%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	55%	45%	80%	20%	93%	7%
	36%	64%	70%	30%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	55%	45%
	36%	64%	70%	30%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	93%	7%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

134%

X42%

224%

1st Score

154%

X7%

239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

1-0

10.5%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

7.7%

0-1

7.4%

1-2

7.0%

0-0

6.6%

2-2

5.5%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.1%

3-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United — Recent Form

Oxford United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Mansfield Town have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Oxford United

Mansfield Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Mansfield Town

1/5

Oxford United

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Mansfield Town

3/5

Oxford United

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Mansfield Town

1/5

Oxford United

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Mansfield Town

4/5

Oxford United

5/5

First Half Result

Mansfield Town

1/5

Oxford United

1/5

Correct Score

Mansfield Town

1/5

Oxford United

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oxford United – Bradford City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).