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Northampton Town vs Colchester United 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Northampton Town2–0
Colchester UnitedOn these chances Northampton Town would usually take 1.7 points and Colchester United 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Northampton Town.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Northampton Town vs Colchester United stats: how the match was played
League Two
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Northampton Town
Colchester United
4
Shots on target
3
1
Big chances
2
7
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
1
34%
Possession
66%
Northampton Town vs Colchester United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Colchester United to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Northampton Town to win.
Our track record
In 1,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,637 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Northampton Town 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Our model’s pick
Colchester United 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Northampton Town vs Colchester United 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Northampton Town vs Colchester United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Northampton Town2
Colchester United0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Northampton Town2Colchester United0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 70% | 30% |
| 29% | 71% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
1-1
18%
X-X
17%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Northampton Town vs Colchester United — Recent Form
Northampton Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table. Colchester United have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 23rd in the table.
Last 5 matches
Northampton TownColchester UnitedOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Colchester UnitedNorthampton TownBoth Teams to Score
Colchester UnitedNorthampton TownOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Colchester UnitedNorthampton TownOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Colchester UnitedNorthampton TownFirst Half Result
Colchester UnitedNorthampton TownCorrect Score
Colchester UnitedNorthampton Town