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Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Bristol Rovers drew despite more chances
0–0
On these chances Bristol Rovers would usually take 2.1 points and Swindon Town 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Bristol Rovers.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town stats: how the match was played
League Two
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Bristol Rovers had more than twice the shots on target
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
8
Shots on target
3
1
Big chances
2
2
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
2
57%
Possession
43%
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Bristol Rovers to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,806 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,756 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Bristol Rovers ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Bristol Rovers 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Swindon Town 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 44% | 56% | |
| 41% | 60% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% | |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
19%
X-X
14%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town — Recent Form
Swindon Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Bristol Rovers have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score