Home
Leagues
League Two
York City vs Port Vale

York City vs Port Vale 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Fair result

York City

2–0

Port Vale

1.3Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances York City would usually take 1.2 points and Port Vale 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: York City.

York City +1.8 pts vs chancesPort Vale −1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

York City vs Port Vale stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

York City

Port Vale

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

48%

Possession

52%

The match between York City and Port Vale ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a York City win with 64% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Barnet – York City prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

York City vs Port Vale — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

York City to win

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,093 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

York City ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 49%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 546 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

York City Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

York City 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: York City 0–1 goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,019 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Port Vale Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Port Vale 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 83%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

York City vs Port Vale 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for York City vs Port Vale. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

York City2

Port Vale0

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

League Two - England

York City2

Port Vale0

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

164%

X21%

215%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%	58%	42%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%	68%	32%	85%	15%
	53%	47%	83%	17%	95%	5%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%
	53%	47%	83%	17%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	68%	32%	85%	15%
	95%	5%	99%	1%

1st Half

149%

X36%

215%

1st Score

168%

X7%

226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

20%

X-X

11%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.4%

2-0

11.2%

1-1

9.7%

2-1

9.3%

3-0

7.5%

0-0

6.8%

3-1

6.2%

0-1

5.0%

2-2

3.9%

1-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

York City vs Port Vale — Recent Form

York City have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Port Vale have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 23rd in the table.

Last 5 matches

York City

Port Vale

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

York City

2/5

Port Vale

3/5

Both Teams to Score

York City

4/5

Port Vale

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

York City

1/5

Port Vale

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

York City

5/5

Port Vale

5/5

First Half Result

York City

2/5

Port Vale

0/5

Correct Score

York City

1/5

Port Vale

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Barnet – York City prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).