Home
Leagues
League Two
Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley

Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley 0-5 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Fair result

Rochdale

0–5

Accrington Stanley

0.4Chances (xG)2.5

On these chances Rochdale would usually take 0.2 points and Accrington Stanley 2.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Accrington Stanley.

Rochdale −0.2 pts vs chancesAccrington Stanley +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Accrington Stanley had more than twice the shots on target

Rochdale

Accrington Stanley

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Rochdale and Accrington Stanley ended 0-5. Our AI model predicted a Rochdale win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rochdale – York City prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rochdale to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Accrington Stanley to win.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.7% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,891 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Rochdale Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rochdale 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Accrington Stanley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Accrington Stanley 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 74%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley 0-5 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Rochdale0

Accrington Stanley5

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

League Two - England

Rochdale0

Accrington Stanley5

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

151%

X25%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%	61%	39%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	41%	59%	73%	27%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%
	41%	59%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

136%

X41%

222%

1st Score

153%

X7%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-0

10.7%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

8.5%

0-1

7.0%

0-0

6.9%

1-2

6.3%

3-0

5.4%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

5.0%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley — Recent Form

Accrington Stanley have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Rochdale have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Accrington Stanley

Rochdale

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Rochdale

2/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Rochdale

3/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rochdale

3/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rochdale

1/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

First Half Result

Rochdale

0/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Correct Score

Rochdale

1/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rochdale – York City prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).