Leaky
0/10Barnet kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).
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Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Riding their luck
Crewe Alexandra are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Crewe Alexandra 30% to winBarnet 44%
Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert2.9 goals expected
2.9 goals in total: more goals than a typical League Two game (average 2.6).
goals expected
Crewe Alexandra1.3Barnet1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Barnet to win
Our model 40%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 3,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 2,847 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 6,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Crewe Alexandra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Crewe Alexandra 0–1 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,666 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Barnet Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Barnet 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 372 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Crewe Alexandra–
Barnet–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Crewe Alexandra–Barnet–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
133%
X27%
240%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
| 28% | 72% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
129%
X42%
228%
1st Score
145%
X8%
248%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
1-1
18%
X-2
15%
X-X
14%
X-1
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Barnet: leaky and always on the scoresheet
0/10Always on the scoresheet
0/10Barnet scored in all of their last 10 (league 28% fail to score).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet: attack vs defence
League Two
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Crewe Alexandra: weak attack, weak defence (1.10 xG, 1.60 xGA a game)
- Barnet: good attack, good defence (1.76 xG, 1.25 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesCrewe Alexandra are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Crewe AlexandraBookmakers: 30% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+4.0
- BarnetBookmakers: 44% to win today.+0.9
Last 5 matches
BarnetW
D
L
W
W
Crewe AlexandraL
L
W
W
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Crewe Alexandra 16th of 24 · Barnet 1st of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Crewe Alexandra and Barnet games more often than the League Two average (52%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 47%
Crewe Alexandra4 of 10
Barnet8 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Crewe Alexandra8 of 10
Barnet10 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 540 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet corners, cards and goal times
League Two
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Crewe Alexandra3/5
Barnet2/5
Both Teams to Score
Crewe Alexandra4/5
Barnet5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Crewe Alexandra3/5
Barnet3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Crewe Alexandra2/5
Barnet2/5
First Half Result
Crewe Alexandra1/5
Barnet1/5
Correct Score
Crewe Alexandra0/5
Barnet1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction