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Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town

Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Fair result

Accrington Stanley

1–1

Northampton Town

1.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Accrington Stanley would usually take 1.9 points and Northampton Town 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Accrington Stanley.

Accrington Stanley −0.9 pts vs chancesNorthampton Town +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Accrington Stanley

Northampton Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Accrington Stanley and Northampton Town ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Accrington Stanley win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Northampton Town – Oldham Athletic prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).

Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Accrington Stanley to win

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,539 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Accrington Stanley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Accrington Stanley 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Northampton Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Northampton Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Accrington Stanley1

Northampton Town1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

League Two - England

Accrington Stanley1

Northampton Town1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

146%

X26%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	65%	35%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	59%	41%	83%	17%	94%	6%
	38%	62%	72%	28%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	59%	41%
	38%	62%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	83%	17%	94%	6%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

138%

X42%

220%

1st Score

157%

X8%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

17%

X-X

15%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

1-0

11.9%

2-1

9.1%

0-1

8.7%

0-0

8.2%

2-0

7.9%

1-2

6.7%

0-2

4.7%

2-2

4.7%

3-1

4.3%

3-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town — Recent Form

Accrington Stanley have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Northampton Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Accrington Stanley

Northampton Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Northampton Town

0/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Northampton Town

4/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Northampton Town

3/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Northampton Town

5/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

First Half Result

Northampton Town

0/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Correct Score

Northampton Town

1/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Northampton Town – Oldham Athletic prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).