Flop as favourites
1/8Oldham Athletic won only 1 of 8 as favourites (league 49%).
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Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)
Unlucky
Oldham Athletic are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−7points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Oldham Athletic 36% to winShrewsbury Town 36%
Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little under the League Two average of 2.6.
goals expected
Shrewsbury Town1.2Oldham Athletic1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shrewsbury Town to win
Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 2,086 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 4,578 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 4,284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Shrewsbury Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shrewsbury Town 0–1 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,447 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Oldham Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Oldham Athletic 0–1 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Shrewsbury Town–
Oldham Athletic–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Shrewsbury Town–Oldham Athletic–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
139%
X27%
235%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 62% | 38% |
| 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
128%
X46%
226%
1st Score
147%
X7%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
19%
2-2
19%
X-X
18%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Oldham Athletic: flop as favourites, slow starters and shot-shy
1/8Slow starters
2/10Oldham Athletic scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Shot-shy
5/10Oldham Athletic failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic: attack vs defence
League Two
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Shrewsbury Town: good attack, good defence (1.56 xG, 1.07 xGA a game)
- Oldham Athletic: good attack, good defence (1.49 xG, 1.35 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesOldham Athletic are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Shrewsbury TownBookmakers: 36% to win today.−1.4
- Oldham AthleticBookmakers: 36% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals−7.0
Last 5 matches
Shrewsbury TownL
D
W
W
L
Oldham AthleticW
L
D
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Shrewsbury Town 15th of 24 · Oldham Athletic 6th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Oldham Athletic games less often than the League Two average (53%), in Shrewsbury Town games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Shrewsbury Town5 of 10
Oldham Athletic4 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Shrewsbury Town6 of 10
Oldham Athletic4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 553 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic corners, cards and goal times
League Two
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.9
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Shrewsbury Town2/5
Oldham Athletic2/5
Both Teams to Score
Shrewsbury Town2/5
Oldham Athletic2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Shrewsbury Town2/5
Oldham Athletic2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Shrewsbury Town3/5
Oldham Athletic4/5
First Half Result
Shrewsbury Town2/5
Oldham Athletic2/5
Correct Score
Shrewsbury Town0/5
Oldham Athletic1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction