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Barrow vs Bromley

Barrow vs Bromley 3-3 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2024/2025 (Round 45)

Robbed

Barrow drew despite more chances

Barrow

3–3

Bromley

2.7Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Barrow would usually take 1.9 points and Bromley 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Barrow.

Barrow −0.9 pts vs chancesBromley +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Barrow vs Bromley stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Barrow

Bromley

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Barrow and Bromley ended 3-3. Our AI model predicted a Barrow win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

Barrow vs Bromley — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barrow to win

Wrong

Our model 47%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,508 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,154 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 76%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,638 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,283 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Barrow Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barrow 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Bromley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bromley 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 74%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Barrow vs Bromley 3-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Barrow vs Bromley. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Barrow3

Bromley3

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

League Two - England

Barrow3

Bromley3

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

147%

X26%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	55%	45%	66%	34%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	55%	45%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	58%	42%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	40%	60%	74%	26%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	58%	42%
	40%	60%	74%	26%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

135%

X45%

219%

1st Score

156%

X8%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

18%

X-X

18%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

1-0

12.2%

2-1

9.0%

2-0

8.9%

0-1

8.4%

0-0

8.4%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

4.6%

0-2

4.4%

3-0

4.3%

3-1

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score