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Crawley Town vs Harrogate Town

Crawley Town vs Harrogate Town 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2025/2026 (Round 30)

Fair result

Crawley Town

2–0

Harrogate Town

1.3Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Crawley Town would usually take 1.4 points and Harrogate Town 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Crawley Town.

Crawley Town +1.6 pts vs chancesHarrogate Town −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Crawley Town vs Harrogate Town stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Crawley Town

Harrogate Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Crawley Town and Harrogate Town ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Crawley Town win with 51% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crawley Town – Tranmere Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Crawley Town vs Harrogate Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crawley Town to win

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crawley Town ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 41%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Crawley Town Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crawley Town 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Crawley Town 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,850 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Harrogate Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Harrogate Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Crawley Town vs Harrogate Town 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Crawley Town vs Harrogate Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Crawley Town2

Harrogate Town0

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

League Two - England

Crawley Town2

Harrogate Town0

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

151%

X24%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%	61%	39%	84%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	84%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%	78%	22%	92%	8%
	39%	61%	72%	28%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%
	39%	61%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	92%	8%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

140%

X40%

220%

1st Score

159%

X6%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

1-0

10.8%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

8.7%

0-1

7.1%

1-2

6.8%

0-0

6.2%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

5.2%

3-0

4.9%

0-2

3.8%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crawley Town – Tranmere Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).