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Fleetwood Town vs Notts County

Fleetwood Town vs Notts County 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2025/2026 (Round 30)

Fair result

Fleetwood Town

1–2

Notts County

0.8Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Fleetwood Town would usually take 1.2 points and Notts County 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Notts County.

Fleetwood Town −1.2 pts vs chancesNotts County +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fleetwood Town vs Notts County stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Notts County had clearly more shots on target

Fleetwood Town

Notts County

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Fleetwood Town and Notts County ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Notts County win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Exeter City – Fleetwood Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Fleetwood Town vs Notts County — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Notts County to win

Correct

Our model 41%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Fleetwood Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Notts County Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Notts County 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fleetwood Town vs Notts County 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fleetwood Town vs Notts County. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Fleetwood Town1

Notts County2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

League Two - England

Fleetwood Town1

Notts County2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

132%

X27%

241%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	27%	73%	61%	39%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	69%	31%
	27%	73%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

127%

X46%

228%

1st Score

141%

X8%

251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

1-1

17%

X-X

17%

X-2

17%

X-1

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

0-1

10.7%

1-0

9.1%

1-2

9.0%

0-0

8.1%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.4%

2-2

5.1%

2-0

5.1%

1-3

4.1%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Exeter City – Fleetwood Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).