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Grimsby Town vs Bromley 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2025/2026 (Round 36)

Robbed

Grimsby Town drew despite more chances

Grimsby TownGrimsby Town

1–1

BromleyBromley
3.0Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Grimsby Town would usually take 2.5 points and Bromley 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Grimsby Town.

Grimsby Town −1.5 pts vs chancesBromley +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Grimsby Town vs Bromley stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Grimsby Town had clearly more shots on target

Grimsby Town

Bromley

8

Shots on target

5

7

Big chances

1

6

Corners

5

0

Yellow cards

2

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Grimsby Town and Bromley ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Grimsby Town win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gillingham – Grimsby Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Grimsby Town vs Bromley — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grimsby Town to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Grimsby Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grimsby Town 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Bromley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bromley 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Grimsby Town vs Bromley 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Grimsby Town vs Bromley. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League Two - England
Grimsby TownGrimsby Town1
BromleyBromley1

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

139%
X26%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Grimsby Town27%73%60%40%
Bromley30%70%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Grimsby Town83%17%94%6%
Bromley86%14%95%5%

1st Half

131%
X43%
226%

1st Score

149%
X7%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

18%

X-X

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

1-0

8.9%

2-1

8.8%

0-1

8.2%

1-2

8.2%

0-0

6.5%

2-0

6.1%

2-2

5.9%

0-2

5.3%

3-1

4.0%

1-3

3.4%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gillingham – Grimsby Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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