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Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Swindon Town

1–1

Accrington Stanley

1.5Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Swindon Town would usually take 1.5 points and Accrington Stanley 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Swindon Town.

Swindon Town −0.5 pts vs chancesAccrington Stanley −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley stats: how the match was played

League Two

Level on shots on target

Swindon Town

Accrington Stanley

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

60%

Possession

41%

The match between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Swindon Town win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oldham Athletic – Accrington Stanley prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Swindon Town to win

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Swindon Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Swindon Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Accrington Stanley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Accrington Stanley 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Swindon Town1

Accrington Stanley1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

League Two - England

Swindon Town1

Accrington Stanley1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

150%

X23%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	57%	43%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%	76%	24%	91%	9%
	37%	63%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%
	37%	63%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	76%	24%	91%	9%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

134%

X42%

224%

1st Score

154%

X6%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

17%

X-1

16%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

9.3%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.9%

0-1

6.6%

0-0

5.6%

2-2

5.4%

3-1

5.3%

3-0

4.7%

0-2

4.0%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley — Recent Form

Accrington Stanley have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. Swindon Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Accrington Stanley

Swindon Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Swindon Town

4/5

Accrington Stanley

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Swindon Town

2/5

Accrington Stanley

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Swindon Town

2/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Swindon Town

3/5

Accrington Stanley

4/5

First Half Result

Swindon Town

2/5

Accrington Stanley

4/5

Correct Score

Swindon Town

2/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oldham Athletic – Accrington Stanley prediction & betting tips (Oct 10, 2026).