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Salford City vs Fleetwood Town

Salford City vs Fleetwood Town 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Salford City

1–0

Fleetwood Town

1.2Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Salford City would usually take 1.7 points and Fleetwood Town 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Salford City.

Salford City +1.3 pts vs chancesFleetwood Town −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Salford City vs Fleetwood Town stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Salford City had more than twice the shots on target

Salford City

Fleetwood Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Salford City and Fleetwood Town ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Salford City win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Salford City – Northampton Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

Salford City vs Fleetwood Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City to win

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 2,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Salford City ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Salford City Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Salford City 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,897 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.

Fleetwood Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Salford City vs Fleetwood Town 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Salford City vs Fleetwood Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Salford City1

Fleetwood Town0

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

League Two - England

Salford City1

Fleetwood Town0

Winner

1 50%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

150%

X25%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%	61%	39%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	53%	47%	78%	22%	92%	8%
	39%	61%	73%	27%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	53%	47%
	39%	61%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	92%	8%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

137%

X43%

219%

1st Score

156%

X7%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

17%

X-X

16%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

8.6%

0-1

7.1%

0-0

6.7%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

5.2%

3-0

4.7%

0-2

3.7%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Salford City vs Fleetwood Town — Recent Form

Salford City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Fleetwood Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Salford City

Fleetwood Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Salford City

5/5

Fleetwood Town

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Salford City

3/5

Fleetwood Town

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Salford City

4/5

Fleetwood Town

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Salford City

4/5

Fleetwood Town

3/5

First Half Result

Salford City

1/5

Fleetwood Town

3/5

Correct Score

Salford City

0/5

Fleetwood Town

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Salford City – Northampton Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).