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Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Grimsby Town1–2
Shrewsbury TownOn these chances Grimsby Town would usually take 1.9 points and Shrewsbury Town 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Grimsby Town.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town stats: how the match was played
League Two
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Grimsby Town
Shrewsbury Town
5
Shots on target
4
0
Big chances
1
8
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
6
64%
Possession
36%
Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · League Two
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Grimsby Town to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,806 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,891 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Grimsby Town ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Grimsby Town 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Shrewsbury Town 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,578 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Grimsby Town1
Shrewsbury Town2Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Grimsby Town1Shrewsbury Town2Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 50% | 50% |
| 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
19%
X-X
15%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
10.3%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town — Recent Form
Grimsby Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Shrewsbury Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Grimsby TownShrewsbury TownOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Shrewsbury TownGrimsby TownBoth Teams to Score
Shrewsbury TownGrimsby TownOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Shrewsbury TownGrimsby TownOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Shrewsbury TownGrimsby TownFirst Half Result
Shrewsbury TownGrimsby TownCorrect Score
Shrewsbury TownGrimsby Town