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Barnet vs York City

Barnet vs York City 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Barnet

3–1

York City

1.9Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Barnet would usually take 2.2 points and York City 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Barnet.

Barnet +0.8 pts vs chancesYork City −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Barnet vs York City stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Barnet had more than twice the shots on target

Barnet

York City

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

61%

Possession

40%

The match between Barnet and York City ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Barnet win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rochdale – York City prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

Barnet vs York City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barnet to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,534 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.8% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,974 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 39%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 1,963 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Barnet Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barnet 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Barnet 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,886 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 40.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.

York City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

York City 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,314 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Barnet vs York City 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Barnet vs York City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Barnet3

York City1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

League Two - England

Barnet3

York City1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

146%

X25%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	58%	42%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	54%	46%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	36%	64%	68%	32%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	54%	46%
	36%	64%	68%	32%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

132%

X39%

229%

1st Score

150%

X7%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

21%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

8.9%

2-0

7.9%

1-2

7.0%

0-1

6.8%

0-0

6.5%

2-2

5.6%

3-1

4.7%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Barnet vs York City — Recent Form

Barnet have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. York City have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Barnet

York City

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

York City

3/5

Barnet

2/5

Both Teams to Score

York City

5/5

Barnet

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

York City

2/5

Barnet

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

York City

3/5

Barnet

3/5

First Half Result

York City

3/5

Barnet

1/5

Correct Score

York City

1/5

Barnet

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rochdale – York City prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).