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Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Accrington Stanley

2–0

Cheltenham Town

2.3Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Accrington Stanley would usually take 2.5 points and Cheltenham Town 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Cheltenham Town.

Accrington Stanley +0.5 pts vs chancesCheltenham Town −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Accrington Stanley had more than twice the shots on target

Accrington Stanley

Cheltenham Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Accrington Stanley and Cheltenham Town ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Accrington Stanley win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Exeter City – Cheltenham Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Accrington Stanley to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Cheltenham Town to win.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,891 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,637 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Accrington Stanley Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Accrington Stanley 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Cheltenham Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cheltenham Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Accrington Stanley2

Cheltenham Town0

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

League Two - England

Accrington Stanley2

Cheltenham Town0

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

138%

X27%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	66%	34%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	30%	70%	64%	36%	86%	14%	96%	4%
	33%	67%	67%	33%	88%	12%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	64%	36%
	33%	67%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	96%	4%
	88%	12%	97%	3%

1st Half

130%

X45%

225%

1st Score

148%

X8%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

17%

X-X

16%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

1-0

10.7%

0-1

9.8%

0-0

8.3%

2-1

8.3%

1-2

7.7%

2-0

6.7%

0-2

6.0%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

3.5%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town — Recent Form

Accrington Stanley have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Cheltenham Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Accrington Stanley

Cheltenham Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Cheltenham Town

4/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Cheltenham Town

3/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Cheltenham Town

2/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Cheltenham Town

2/5

Accrington Stanley

3/5

First Half Result

Cheltenham Town

0/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Correct Score

Cheltenham Town

0/5

Accrington Stanley

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Exeter City – Cheltenham Town prediction & betting tips (Nov 14, 2026).