Always on the scoresheet
1/10Grimsby Town failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Rochdale vs Grimsby Town Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Rochdale are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 9 with xG
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Rochdale vs Grimsby Town score prediction
League Two
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.6 goals in total, in line with the League Two average of 2.6.
goals expected
Rochdale1.1Grimsby Town1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Rochdale vs Grimsby Town will be played on Tuesday, October 20 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 12 of the League Two, played in England. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Rochdale vs Grimsby Town, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Rochdale vs Grimsby Town — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Rochdale vs Grimsby Town. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Rochdale–
Grimsby Town–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Rochdale–Grimsby Town–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
140%
X25%
235%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 30% | 70% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
131%
X41%
228%
1st Score
148%
X6%
246%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
2-2
21%
X-X
15%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Rochdale vs Grimsby Town: the stats that stand out
League Two
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Grimsby Town: always on the scoresheet · Rochdale: brick wall
1/10Brick wall
4/9Rochdale kept 4 clean sheets in their last 9 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Rochdale vs Grimsby Town: attack vs defence
League Two
How to read it
other League Two teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Rochdale: weak attack, weak defence (0.86 xG, 1.64 xGA a game)
- Grimsby Town: good attack, good defence (1.70 xG, 1.14 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Rochdale vs Grimsby Town form and luck check
League Two
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League Two gamesRochdale are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Rochdale9 of 10 games+5.5
- Grimsby Town9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −3 goals−3.6
Last 5 matches
RochdaleW
W
W
D
L
Grimsby TownL
L
W
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Rochdale 17th of 24 · Grimsby Town 2nd of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Rochdale vs Grimsby Town: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
League Two
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent League Two gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Rochdale games less often than the League Two average (52%), in Grimsby Town games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Rochdale5 of 9
Grimsby Town6 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Rochdale3 of 9
Grimsby Town6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 528 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Rochdale vs Grimsby Town corners, cards and goal times
League Two
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameRochdale: last 9 with these statsGrimsby Town: last 9 with these statsGrimsby Town score early
Rochdale
Grimsby Town
4.6
Corners won · league 4.9
7.0
5.4
Corners conceded · league 4.9
5.3
2.0
Cards · league 1.9
1.4
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
3.0
50%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
62%
30%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
15%
45%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
50%
18%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
0%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Grimsby Town2/5
Rochdale2/5
Both Teams to Score
Grimsby Town0/5
Rochdale1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Grimsby Town0/5
Rochdale2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Grimsby Town4/5
Rochdale4/5
First Half Result
Grimsby Town1/5
Rochdale1/5
Correct Score
Grimsby Town0/5
Rochdale0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction