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Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers

Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Smash-and-grab

Tranmere Rovers won with less than half the chances

Northampton Town

0–1

Tranmere Rovers

1.7Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Northampton Town would usually take 2.2 points and Tranmere Rovers 0.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Northampton Town.

Northampton Town −2.2 pts vs chancesTranmere Rovers +2.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Northampton Town had more than twice the shots on target

Northampton Town

Tranmere Rovers

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

64%

Possession

36%

The match between Northampton Town and Tranmere Rovers ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Northampton Town win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Tranmere Rovers – Cheltenham Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Northampton Town to win

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Northampton Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Northampton Town 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Tranmere Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tranmere Rovers 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Northampton Town0

Tranmere Rovers1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

League Two - England

Northampton Town0

Tranmere Rovers1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

141%

X28%

231%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	64%	36%	86%	14%	96%	4%
	36%	64%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	64%	36%
	36%	64%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	96%	4%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

132%

X48%

220%

1st Score

154%

X10%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

19%

X-1

17%

2-2

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

1-0

11.9%

0-1

9.8%

0-0

9.6%

2-1

8.2%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

7.1%

0-2

5.3%

2-2

4.7%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers — Recent Form

Northampton Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table. Tranmere Rovers have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Northampton Town

Tranmere Rovers

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Tranmere Rovers

2/5

Northampton Town

0/5

Both Teams to Score

Tranmere Rovers

4/5

Northampton Town

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Tranmere Rovers

2/5

Northampton Town

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Tranmere Rovers

4/5

Northampton Town

5/5

First Half Result

Tranmere Rovers

1/5

Northampton Town

1/5

Correct Score

Tranmere Rovers

2/5

Northampton Town

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Tranmere Rovers – Cheltenham Town prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).