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Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fair result

Crawley Town

2–3

Shrewsbury Town

1.3Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Crawley Town would usually take 1.0 points and Shrewsbury Town 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Crawley Town.

Crawley Town −1.0 pts vs chancesShrewsbury Town +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Shrewsbury Town had clearly more shots on target

Crawley Town

Shrewsbury Town

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Crawley Town and Shrewsbury Town ended 2-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Shrewsbury Town win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shrewsbury Town – Gillingham prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shrewsbury Town to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Crawley Town to win.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 804 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Crawley Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crawley Town 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 69%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,666 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Shrewsbury Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shrewsbury Town 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,288 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Crawley Town2

Shrewsbury Town3

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

League Two - England

Crawley Town2

Shrewsbury Town3

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

134%

X28%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	31%	69%	65%	35%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	69%	31%
	31%	69%	65%	35%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

126%

X48%

226%

1st Score

146%

X10%

244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

19%

X-X

19%

2-2

19%

X-2

14%

X-1

13%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

0-1

11.2%

1-0

10.3%

0-0

9.6%

1-2

8.1%

2-1

7.3%

0-2

6.8%

2-0

5.9%

2-2

5.0%

1-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Town — Recent Form

Shrewsbury Town have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Crawley Town have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 24th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Shrewsbury Town

Crawley Town

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Shrewsbury Town

2/5

Crawley Town

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Shrewsbury Town

1/5

Crawley Town

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Shrewsbury Town

2/5

Crawley Town

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Shrewsbury Town

3/5

Crawley Town

3/5

First Half Result

Shrewsbury Town

2/5

Crawley Town

2/5

Correct Score

Shrewsbury Town

0/5

Crawley Town

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shrewsbury Town – Gillingham prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).