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Bristol Rovers vs Salford City

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

League Two - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fair result

Bristol Rovers

1–2

Salford City

1.4Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Bristol Rovers would usually take 1.6 points and Salford City 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Salford City.

Bristol Rovers −1.6 pts vs chancesSalford City +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City stats: how the match was played

League Two

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Bristol Rovers

Salford City

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Bristol Rovers and Salford City ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Salford City win with 38% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fleetwood Town – Bristol Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League Two

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City to win

Correct

Our model 38%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,086 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Bristol Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol Rovers 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Salford City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salford City 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bristol Rovers vs Salford City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League Two - England

Bristol Rovers1

Salford City2

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

League Two - England

Bristol Rovers1

Salford City2

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

138%

X24%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%	52%	48%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	28%	72%	58%	42%	80%	20%	92%	8%
	28%	72%	57%	43%	81%	19%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	58%	42%
	28%	72%	57%	43%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	92%	8%
	81%	19%	92%	8%

1st Half

126%

X45%

229%

1st Score

143%

X5%

251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

18%

X-X

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

7.7%

0-1

7.5%

1-0

7.2%

2-2

6.3%

0-2

5.5%

0-0

5.2%

2-0

4.8%

1-3

4.1%

3-1

4.0%

3-2

3.4%

2-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City — Recent Form

Salford City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Bristol Rovers have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Salford City

Bristol Rovers

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Salford City

5/5

Bristol Rovers

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Salford City

3/5

Bristol Rovers

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Salford City

3/5

Bristol Rovers

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Salford City

4/5

Bristol Rovers

3/5

First Half Result

Salford City

2/5

Bristol Rovers

1/5

Correct Score

Salford City

0/5

Bristol Rovers

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fleetwood Town – Bristol Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).