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La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2025 (Round 16)

Fair result
La EquidadLa Equidad

0–2

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
0.7Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances La Equidad would usually take 0.9 points and Deportes Tolima 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportes Tolima.

La Equidad −0.9 pts vs chancesDeportes Tolima +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Deportes Tolima had clearly more shots on target

La Equidad

Deportes Tolima

2

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

3

4

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

0

1

Red cards

0

26%

Possession

74%

The match between La Equidad and Deportes Tolima ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Deportes Tolima win with 49% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Alianza Petrolera – La Equidad prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportes Tolima to win

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,709 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

La Equidad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

La Equidad 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 831 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 73.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Deportes Tolima Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportes Tolima 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga BetPlay - Colombia
La EquidadLa Equidad0
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima2

Winner

X2 77%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

123%
X29%
249%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%61%39%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
La Equidad45%55%80%20%
Deportes Tolima26%74%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
La Equidad95%5%99%1%
Deportes Tolima84%16%95%5%

1st Half

119%
X47%
234%

1st Score

136%
X12%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-X

21%

X-2

17%

1-1

12%

X-1

9%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

14.5%

1-1

12.8%

0-0

11.6%

1-2

9.6%

0-2

9.3%

1-0

8.8%

2-1

5.8%

0-3

4.4%

2-2

4.0%

1-3

3.9%

2-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Alianza Petrolera – La Equidad prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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