Home
Leagues
Liga BetPlay
Junior FC vs Atlético Nacional

Junior FC vs Atlético Nacional 0-4 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Fair result

Junior FC

0–4

Atlético Nacional

0.4Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Junior FC would usually take 0.5 points and Atlético Nacional 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Nacional.

Junior FC −0.5 pts vs chancesAtlético Nacional +0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Junior FC vs Atlético Nacional stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético Nacional had more than twice the shots on target

Junior FC

Atlético Nacional

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

31%

Possession

69%

The match between Junior FC and Atlético Nacional ended 0-4. Our AI model predicted a Junior FC win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético Nacional – Independiente Medellín prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Junior FC vs Atlético Nacional — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlético Nacional to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Junior FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Atlético Nacional Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Nacional 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,358 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Junior FC vs Atlético Nacional 0-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Junior FC vs Atlético Nacional. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Junior FC0

Atlético Nacional4

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Junior FC0

Atlético Nacional4

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

142%

X28%

230%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	54%	46%	66%	34%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	61%	39%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	35%	65%	70%	30%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	61%	39%
	35%	65%	70%	30%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

133%

X43%

224%

1st Score

151%

X8%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

18%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

13.2%

1-0

11.3%

2-1

9.5%

0-1

8.7%

0-0

8.5%

1-2

7.3%

2-0

7.3%

2-2

5.2%

0-2

4.7%

3-1

3.8%

3-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético Nacional – Independiente Medellín prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).