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Deportivo Pasto vs América de Cali 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 10)
Deportivo Pasto2–0
América de CaliOn these chances Deportivo Pasto would usually take 1.2 points and América de Cali 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportivo Pasto.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Deportivo Pasto vs América de Cali stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Deportivo Pasto had clearly more shots on target
Deportivo Pasto
América de Cali
3
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
0
2
Corners
5
5
Yellow cards
4
1
Red cards
0
32%
Possession
68%
Deportivo Pasto vs América de Cali — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Pasto to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Pasto 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
América de Cali 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Deportivo Pasto vs América de Cali 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Pasto vs América de Cali. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Deportivo Pasto2
América de Cali0Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Deportivo Pasto2América de Cali0Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 61% | 39% |
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
20%
X-1
17%
2-2
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score