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Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios

Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Fair result

Fortaleza CEIF

1–1

Millonarios

1.4Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Fortaleza CEIF would usually take 1.5 points and Millonarios 1.2; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Millonarios.

Fortaleza CEIF −0.5 pts vs chancesMillonarios −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Millonarios had clearly more shots on target

Fortaleza CEIF

Millonarios

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Fortaleza CEIF and Millonarios ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Millonarios win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rionegro Águilas – Fortaleza CEIF prediction & betting tips (Nov 2, 2026).

Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios to win

Wrong

Our model 47%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Fortaleza CEIF Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortaleza CEIF 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Millonarios Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Fortaleza CEIF1

Millonarios1

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Fortaleza CEIF1

Millonarios1

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

125%

X27%

247%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	63%	37%	86%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	86%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	37%	63%	72%	28%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	22%	78%	55%	45%	80%	20%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	37%	63%	72%	28%
	22%	78%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	80%	20%	93%	7%

1st Half

123%

X44%

233%

1st Score

138%

X7%

255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-X

18%

X-2

16%

1-1

13%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.2%

0-1

11.2%

1-2

10.1%

0-2

7.6%

1-0

7.4%

0-0

7.3%

2-1

6.6%

2-2

5.7%

1-3

4.7%

0-3

4.2%

2-0

4.0%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Fortaleza CEIF vs Millonarios — Recent Form

Millonarios have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Fortaleza CEIF have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Millonarios

Fortaleza CEIF

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Millonarios

1/5

Fortaleza CEIF

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Millonarios

4/5

Fortaleza CEIF

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Millonarios

4/5

Fortaleza CEIF

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Millonarios

3/5

Fortaleza CEIF

4/5

First Half Result

Millonarios

4/5

Fortaleza CEIF

3/5

Correct Score

Millonarios

3/5

Fortaleza CEIF

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rionegro Águilas – Fortaleza CEIF prediction & betting tips (Nov 2, 2026).