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Once Caldas vs Llaneros

Once Caldas vs Llaneros 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Fair result

Once Caldas

1–0

Llaneros

1.2Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Once Caldas would usually take 1.5 points and Llaneros 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Once Caldas.

Once Caldas +1.6 pts vs chancesLlaneros −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Once Caldas vs Llaneros stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Once Caldas

Llaneros

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

61%

Possession

39%

The match between Once Caldas and Llaneros ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Once Caldas win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Once Caldas – Alianza Petrolera prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Once Caldas vs Llaneros — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Once Caldas to win

Correct

Our model 48%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Once Caldas ahead at half-time.

Our model 46%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 549 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 34.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Once Caldas Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Once Caldas 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Once Caldas 2+ goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,020 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.

Llaneros Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Llaneros 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 74%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Once Caldas vs Llaneros 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Once Caldas vs Llaneros. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Once Caldas1

Llaneros0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Once Caldas1

Llaneros0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

148%

X26%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%	65%	35%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	39%	61%	74%	26%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	39%	61%	74%	26%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

133%

X46%

221%

1st Score

155%

X8%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

18%

X-X

18%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

12.4%

2-1

10.4%

2-0

8.6%

0-1

7.8%

0-0

7.7%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

4.7%

3-1

4.5%

3-0

4.2%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Once Caldas vs Llaneros — Recent Form

Once Caldas have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Llaneros have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Once Caldas

Llaneros

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Once Caldas

1/5

Llaneros

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Once Caldas

1/5

Llaneros

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Once Caldas

4/5

Llaneros

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Once Caldas

5/5

Llaneros

5/5

First Half Result

Once Caldas

3/5

Llaneros

3/5

Correct Score

Once Caldas

2/5

Llaneros

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Once Caldas – Alianza Petrolera prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).