Flop as favourites
2/9Once Caldas won only 2 of 9 as favourites (league 51%).
Once Caldas vs Llaneros Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 14)
Unlucky
Once Caldas are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−8points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Once Caldas 63% to winLlaneros 13%
Once Caldas vs Llaneros score prediction
Liga BetPlay
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Once Caldas expected to create clearly more
2.5 goals in total, in line with the Liga BetPlay average of 2.5.
goals expected
Once Caldas1.7
Llaneros0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Once Caldas vs Llaneros: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Once Caldas to win
Our model 49%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 3,039 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 3,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Once Caldas Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Once Caldas 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 971 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.
Llaneros Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Llaneros 0–1 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 83%
Our track record
In 2,531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Once Caldas vs Llaneros. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Once Caldas–
Llaneros–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Once Caldas–Llaneros–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
149%
X26%
225%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 56% | 44% |
| 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
134%
X46%
220%
1st Score
155%
X8%
237%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
18%
X-X
18%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Once Caldas vs Llaneros: the stats that stand out
Liga BetPlay
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Once Caldas: flop as favourites and leaky · Llaneros: always on the scoresheet
2/9Leaky
1/10Once Caldas kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Llaneros failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Llaneros: attack vs defence
Liga BetPlay
How to read it
other Liga BetPlay teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Once Caldas: good attack, good defence (1.58 xG, 1.17 xGA a game)
- Llaneros: weak attack, weak defence (0.99 xG, 1.44 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Llaneros form and luck check
Liga BetPlay
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga BetPlay gamesOnce Caldas are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Once CaldasBookmakers: 63% to win today.Wasteful · −8 goals−7.7
- LlanerosBookmakers: 13% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+0.6
Last 5 matches
Once CaldasD
L
L
W
L
LlanerosL
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Once Caldas 9th of 20 · Llaneros 15th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Llaneros: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga BetPlay
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBTTS = both teams scoredOnce Caldas games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Liga BetPlay average (49%), Llaneros games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Once Caldas3 of 10
Llaneros6 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Once Caldas6 of 10
Llaneros7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 410 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Once Caldas vs Llaneros corners, cards and goal times
Liga BetPlay
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameLlaneros score early
Once Caldas
Llaneros
4.9
Corners won · league 4.5
4.6
2.8
Corners conceded · league 4.5
4.8
2.6
Cards · league 2.9
3.7
3.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.9
2.5
38%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
77%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
8%
54%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
60%
15%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Once Caldas1/5
Llaneros3/5
Both Teams to Score
Once Caldas3/5
Llaneros1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Once Caldas3/5
Llaneros1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Once Caldas4/5
Llaneros4/5
First Half Result
Once Caldas2/5
Llaneros2/5
Correct Score
Once Caldas1/5
Llaneros0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction