Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Riding their luck

Deportivo Cali are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Deportivo Cali 56% to winDeportivo Pereira 18%

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali score prediction

Liga BetPlay

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Deportivo Cali expected to create clearly more

2.3 goals in total, a little under the Liga BetPlay average of 2.5.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,314 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 78%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 47%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Deportivo Pereira Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pereira 0–1 goals

Our model 75%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Deportivo Cali Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali 0–1 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira–
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali–

Winner

X2 74%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

126%
X28%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo Pereira39%61%75%25%
Deportivo Cali26%74%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Deportivo Pereira93%7%98%2%
Deportivo Cali84%16%95%5%

1st Half

122%
X47%
231%

1st Score

139%
X9%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

X-X

19%

X-2

17%

1-1

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

0-1

12.4%

1-2

9.8%

0-0

9.4%

1-0

8.8%

0-2

8.2%

2-1

6.6%

2-2

4.9%

2-0

4.1%

0-3

4.0%

1-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali: the stats that stand out

Liga BetPlay

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Deportivo Cali: always on the scoresheet · Deportivo Pereira: slow starters

Always on the scoresheet
Deportivo Cali0/10

Deportivo Cali scored in all of their last 10 (league 27% fail to score).

Slow starters
Deportivo Pereira2/10

Deportivo Pereira scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali: attack vs defence

Liga BetPlay

How to read it

other Liga BetPlay teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira: weak attack, weak defence (0.86 xG, 1.65 xGA a game)
  • Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali: good attack, weak defence (1.31 xG, 1.39 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali form and luck check

Liga BetPlay

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga BetPlay games

Deportivo Cali are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Deportivo Pereira
    Deportivo PereiraBookmakers: 18% to win today.
    +1.8
  • Deportivo Cali
    Deportivo CaliBookmakers: 56% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals
    +7.2

Last 5 matches

Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
W
W
W
W
W
2nd in table
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
L
L
D
D
L
19th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Deportivo Pereira 20th of 20 · Deportivo Cali 8th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Liga BetPlay

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Liga BetPlay average (49%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Deportivo Pereira6 of 10
Deportivo Cali5 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Deportivo Pereira5 of 10
Deportivo Cali6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 411 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali corners, cards and goal times

Liga BetPlay

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Deportivo Pereira score early

Deportivo Pereira

Deportivo Cali

3.1

Corners won · league 4.5

2.8

4.9

Corners conceded · league 4.5

4.4

3.1

Cards · league 2.9

3.4

3.5

Opponents' cards · league 2.9

3.5

57%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

44%

14%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

28%

50%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

25%

13%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

0%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
3/5
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
2/5
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
1/5
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
2/5
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
4/5

First Half Result

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
2/5
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
1/5

Correct Score

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
0/5
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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