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América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín

América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Fair result

América de Cali

1–2

Independiente Medellín

1.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances América de Cali would usually take 1.3 points and Independiente Medellín 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: América de Cali.

América de Cali −1.3 pts vs chancesIndependiente Medellín +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

América de Cali

Independiente Medellín

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

52%

Possession

48%

The match between América de Cali and Independiente Medellín ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a América de Cali win at 58% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Independiente Medellín – Alianza Petrolera prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

América de Cali to win

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,847 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: América de Cali ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

América de Cali Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

América de Cali 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Independiente Medellín Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Independiente Medellín 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,569 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

América de Cali1

Independiente Medellín2

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

América de Cali1

Independiente Medellín2

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

158%

X24%

218%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%	61%	39%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	46%	54%	74%	26%	89%	11%
	45%	55%	79%	21%	94%	6%	99%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	46%	54%
	45%	55%	79%	21%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	26%	89%	11%
	94%	6%	99%	2%

1st Half

139%

X43%

218%

1st Score

163%

X7%

231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

19%

X-X

16%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

11.8%

2-1

11.4%

1-1

11.4%

2-0

10.0%

0-0

6.7%

3-0

6.5%

3-1

5.5%

0-1

5.4%

1-2

5.1%

2-2

4.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín — Recent Form

América de Cali have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Independiente Medellín have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.

Last 5 matches

América de Cali

Independiente Medellín

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

América de Cali

3/5

Independiente Medellín

1/5

Both Teams to Score

América de Cali

2/5

Independiente Medellín

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

América de Cali

3/5

Independiente Medellín

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

América de Cali

4/5

Independiente Medellín

4/5

First Half Result

América de Cali

3/5

Independiente Medellín

2/5

Correct Score

América de Cali

2/5

Independiente Medellín

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Independiente Medellín – Alianza Petrolera prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).