Atlante vs Atlético San Luis 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Atlético San Luis won with less than half the chances
Atlante0–1
Atlético San LuisOn these chances Atlante would usually take 2.4 points and Atlético San Luis 0.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlante.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Atlante vs Atlético San Luis stats: how the match was played
Liga MX
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Atlante had more than twice the shots on target
Atlante
Atlético San Luis
9
Shots on target
4
4
Big chances
0
7
Corners
2
3
Yellow cards
1
42%
Possession
58%
Atlante vs Atlético San Luis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga MX
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atlante to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,530 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,749 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,330 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Atlante 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlante 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 1,889 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Atlético San Luis 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,321 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlante vs Atlético San Luis 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlante vs Atlético San Luis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Atlante0
Atlético San Luis1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Atlante0Atlético San Luis1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 50% | 50% |
| 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-1
19%
X-X
13%
2-2
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlante vs Atlético San Luis — Recent Form
Atlético San Luis have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Atlante have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Atlético San LuisAtlanteOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AtlanteAtlético San LuisBoth Teams to Score
AtlanteAtlético San LuisOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AtlanteAtlético San LuisOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AtlanteAtlético San LuisFirst Half Result
AtlanteAtlético San LuisCorrect Score
AtlanteAtlético San Luis