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Monterrey vs Tijuana

Monterrey vs Tijuana 3-3 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)

Robbed

Monterrey drew despite more chances

Monterrey

3–3

Tijuana

2.6Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Monterrey would usually take 2.5 points and Tijuana 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Monterrey.

Monterrey −1.5 pts vs chancesTijuana +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Monterrey vs Tijuana stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Monterrey had more than twice the shots on target

Monterrey

Tijuana

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

70%

Possession

30%

The match between Monterrey and Tijuana ended 3-3. Our AI model predicted a Monterrey win at 63% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Necaxa – Tijuana prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Monterrey vs Tijuana — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Monterrey to win

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,075 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,125 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,002 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Monterrey ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Monterrey Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Monterrey 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Tijuana Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tijuana 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 82%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,492 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Monterrey vs Tijuana 3-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Monterrey vs Tijuana. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Monterrey3

Tijuana3

Winner

1 63%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Monterrey3

Tijuana3

Winner

1 63%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

163%

X22%

215%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	47%	53%	58%	42%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	16%	84%	43%	57%	69%	31%	86%	14%
	52%	48%	82%	18%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	43%	57%
	52%	48%	82%	18%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	69%	31%	86%	14%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

149%

X35%

216%

1st Score

166%

X8%

227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

41%

X-1

19%

X-X

12%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.8%

2-0

11.1%

2-1

9.5%

1-1

9.2%

0-0

7.5%

3-0

7.1%

3-1

6.0%

0-1

4.7%

1-2

4.1%

2-2

4.0%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Monterrey vs Tijuana — Recent Form

Monterrey have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Tijuana have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Monterrey

Tijuana

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Monterrey

2/5

Tijuana

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Monterrey

3/5

Tijuana

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Monterrey

2/5

Tijuana

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Monterrey

3/5

Tijuana

2/5

First Half Result

Monterrey

1/5

Tijuana

1/5

Correct Score

Monterrey

1/5

Tijuana

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Necaxa – Tijuana prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).