Home
Leagues
Liga MX
Guadalajara vs Atlante

Guadalajara vs Atlante 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)

Fair result

Guadalajara

4–2

Atlante

1.8Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Guadalajara would usually take 1.6 points and Atlante 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Guadalajara.

Guadalajara +1.4 pts vs chancesAtlante −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Guadalajara vs Atlante stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Guadalajara had clearly more shots on target

Guadalajara

Atlante

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Guadalajara and Atlante ended 4-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Guadalajara win with 61% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlante – Santos Laguna prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Guadalajara vs Atlante — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Guadalajara to win

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 1,075 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,759 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,340 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Guadalajara ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 48%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 4,299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Guadalajara Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Guadalajara 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,516 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Atlante Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlante 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.6% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Guadalajara vs Atlante 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Guadalajara vs Atlante. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Guadalajara4

Atlante2

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Guadalajara4

Atlante2

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

161%

X21%

217%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	54%	46%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	14%	86%	41%	59%	68%	32%	86%	14%
	46%	54%	77%	23%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	41%	59%
	46%	54%	77%	23%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	68%	32%	86%	14%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

147%

X37%

216%

1st Score

170%

X5%

225%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

19%

X-X

13%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

10.4%

2-1

10.1%

1-1

9.8%

2-0

9.7%

3-1

6.6%

3-0

6.6%

0-0

5.1%

2-2

5.0%

1-2

4.8%

0-1

4.7%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Guadalajara vs Atlante — Recent Form

Guadalajara have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Atlante have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Guadalajara

Atlante

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Guadalajara

2/5

Atlante

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Guadalajara

3/5

Atlante

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Guadalajara

2/5

Atlante

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Guadalajara

4/5

Atlante

4/5

First Half Result

Guadalajara

2/5

Atlante

4/5

Correct Score

Guadalajara

2/5

Atlante

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlante – Santos Laguna prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).